Will Elevated Debt Threaten the Economy
Consumer Strength Eases Household Debt Concerns for CRE
Household Debt Is Elevated, But Remains Manageable
Total household debt reached an all-time high as of 2Q 2024
Over 70% of the debt is housing-related, placing less of a financial burden on most households, as much of that debt takes the form of low-interest rate mortgages and home equity lines of credit
Non-housing debt, including auto loans, student loans and credit card debt, is also at a high, impacting some households more than others
Job Growth And Wage Gains Are Sustaining Economic Growth
U.S. employment is at a record level, with over 2 million jobs added in the past year
Wage growth outpaced inflation over the past 12 months
Strong employment and wage growth are offsetting rising debt levels
Consumers Remain Healthy, Supporting CRE Space Demand
Household debt service payment levels are below historical norms
Financially-strong consumers are supporting demand for apartments and self-storage, as well as retail and industrial space
Healthy household balance sheets should also translate to optimism regarding leisure travel, strengthening demand for hotel rooms
*Through 2Q
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, Federal Reserve
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