Can the Office Market Regain its Footing in 2025

Office Real Estate Finds Footing​

Office Sector Slowly Rebounding After Pandemic Shock

  • Office vacancy rose from 12.3% before the pandemic to a peak of 17.2% in Q1 2024​

  • Positive absorption returned over the last 4 quarters, bringing vacancy down to 16.7%​

Performance Varies Sharply by Market and Property Type

  • Urban vacancy is 19.2%, while suburban is 16% — but small, newer suburban offices average just 11.2%​

  • Markets like Dallas, Charlotte, NYC, and Chicago have posted multiple quarters of positive office absorption​

  • Struggling markets include San Francisco (27% vacancy) and Boston, with ongoing negative demand​

Outlook Uncertain, but Construction is Low

  • Limited construction and return-to-office trends could support further improvement​

  • Rising unemployment may paradoxically lift office demand in 2025​

* Through 1Q​
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, CoStar Group, Inc.​​

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